According to exit polls, if John Kasich dropped out of the presidential race, 45% of his voters would stay home. 37% would vote for Ted Cruz. 18% would vote for Donald Trump. These are the numbers FiveThirtyEight computed last week, which … Continue reading
Mr. Tim Alberta, a generally commendable fellow whose columns I typically enjoy, has a piece up at National Review today arguing that, if Donald Trump wins both Ohio and Florida tomorrow, it will be “nearly impossible” for his only viable competitor, … Continue reading
Skip To: May 3 | April 26 | April 19 | April 6 | March 22 | March 15 | March 12 | March 8 | March 6 | March 1 A few weeks ago, I wrote a fairly popular post, “Trump’s Delegate … Continue reading
UPDATE: Infographic now in HD high-definition. Our thanks to the artist, Mike Dupuis, for sending us the high-resolution file. In my last post, I predicted that Rubio’s continued presence in the race is not worth it, even in the extremely unlikely … Continue reading
I love Marco Rubio. I haven’t talked about him too much here on the blog, because I haven’t had much to say about him that hasn’t been said better by others elsewhere. But I think he’s a great American, an … Continue reading
I have a lot of friends who are asking a lot of questions about brokered conventions these days. In this series, Conventional Chaos, I’ll be explaining how a Republican party convention works… and why 2016’s convention could be very different from the dull … Continue reading
On Super Tuesday (1 March 2016, for those of you reading this on a Multivac archive in the far future), Minnesota went to the caucuses. For those of you who aren’t from caucus states, let me explain them quickly: caucuses … Continue reading
UPDATE: I have launched a Poor Man’s Stop-Trump Delegate Tracker based on the “Nightmare Scenario” laid out in this post. The media and narrative-driven, math-challenged insiders have largely set their sights on March 15th as the pivotal day, just as this post … Continue reading
President John Tyler had a very bad relationship with Congress. Tyler had been elected Vice-President in 1840, and, like many Vice-Presidents, was added to the Whig ticket as an afterthought, his purpose to balance out William Henry Harrison and win votes … Continue reading
This morning, Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ), who is running for president, attacked Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), who is also running for president, by arguing that Rubio is too pro-life. From the New York Times: